The President has become so powerful that there is no longer an effective balance of power?
First the premise is false. The real power lies in the Supreme Court. That is why is very important not to vote for a Democrat in the next election. Just this year, the Supreme Court almost banned gun ownership. Gun ownership was strongly supported by the founding fathers. Also, gun ownership been shown to save millions of lives by preventing attacks from criminals. You could argue that Executive Orders give presidents extra unconstitutional powers. But executive orders have around since George Washington and executive orders have been struck down by the Supreme Court.
Do you think Joe Biden could win the 2020 presidential election if he decides to run?
Yes.Current polling has both him and Bernie Sanders beating Trump in a head to head in 2020 (http://pollingreport.com/2020wh_...).Trump was incredibly lucky and needed a lot of breaks to fall his way to get past Hillary in 2016. Biden is a stronger opponent than Hillary — more charismatic, less unpopular, and with less baggage. Though Russia will try to intervene in the election, it will probably be less successful now that we know about it. The FBI director is not likely to re-open an investigation that will hurt Biden just as early voting is opening in the election. Even with all of the breaks Trump had, he still lost the popular vote and barely squeaked by on electoral votes.Trump is more of a known quantity than he was in 2016, and, contrary to what Trump supporters think, that does not help him. His approval rating right now is in the low 40s — a point or two below the lowest point that Obama ever reached in his presidency. More than half of Americans have said they would vote against him in 2020, according to polls. He is unpopular in many of the states he won in 2016 and will need to win in 2020.The initial results from the Mueller Report will help him for awhile, but will probably fade fairly quickly. Its hard to see how his new plan to roll back Obamacare completely will help him at all, but it’s easy to see how it hurts him.So, yes, Biden can beat Trump.Incidentally, I think many other Democrats could also beat Trump. I am not so certain about Bernie Sanders though. If the fear of socialism still carries any stigma at all, then Bernie will be very easy to smear.
Is it possible that Hillary Clinton will not run for President again?
Yes. My instinct is (and this goes ON THE RECORD) is that Hillary will, right before or after the midterms this year, announce that she WILL NOT be a candidate for the presidency.Hillary's role in Benghazi PLUS her medical status...remember the fall in her Chapaqua, NY home that led to a one-day hospital stay that turned into a week? PLUS...should the GOP retake the Senate as expected, there will be a WHOLE new round of hearings by the self-absorbed, self-adoring preening narcissists, masturbating their egos for the cameras in perpetual pursuit of reelection... I think Hillary had a stroke, not unlike the atypical stroke I had four years ago, and BECOMING A CANDIDATE for the 'nuclear button job' opens this aspect of your life up for scrutiny, including your COMPLETE medical chart -- (remember, John McCain's chart was close to 30,000 pages) for review, and this is one genie Hillary would just as soon prefer be stuffed and welded back in its lamp. Candidate Obama (2008) on the other hand, offered a single page statement, and the smegma media swallowed it up like another dose of Kool-Aid.Blabbermouth Biden -- who blabbed and got the SEALs killed, trails Clinton in the polls by a SIX-TO-ONE margin (12% to Hillary's 73%), is also turning 72 at the end of the year, and given his gaffe reflex/foot-in-mouth disease that consumes him...all the way to the ankle, I might add, Biden is a severe burden to his party, not to mention serial plagiarizer (1970 Syracuse Law School and again when he was forced to drop out of the 1988 presidential sweepstakes, for the same reason).Governors O'Malley of Maryland and Cuomo of New York are 'thinking about it', but are taking their leads from Hillary Clinton.So -- in a nutshell -- the answer is NO, she WILL NOT run for reasons I outlined. ***
Will the Democrat race for the Presidential nomination be between Biden and Sanders?
If there are two likely top contenders, then they are Bernie Sanders and Kamala Harris.I am 99% sure that Bernie will run, and if he does, he will win the nomination. Biden is enjoying good polling numbers but Biden also has a history of starting strong and then fading, his poll numbers plummet as soon as he opens his mouth. He is a walking gaffe machine, and if he does run he will not make it past Super Tuesday.Bernie, OTOH, has a national grass roots organization that will allow him to organize on the precinct level in all 50 states. He also has a HUGE small donor base that will allow him to raise 100’s of MILLIONS of dollars based on small dollar donations. He will not need to rely on big donors like Biden, Harris and Booker will. That means he can spend all his time on the trail, speaking on TV and in huge stadiums, rather than attending closed door meetings with wealthy donors.I think we can already see that the Clinton big donor base is already lining up behind Kamala Harris, as is the Clintonite Mainstream Media like CNN.Read:Dem donors buzzing about Kamala HarrisClinton Donors Have Picked Their 2020 Democratic Presidential NomineeThey Named Her Kamala: Clinton Staff, Donors Anoint 2020 CandidateOf course, this must all be music to the ears of the Trump campaign. Harris is already shaping up to have a policy-free, pablum-filled campaign based on platitudes and anti-Trump rhetoric.In short, Harris and the Clintonite DNC Machine will run the same sort of campaign they did in 2016, and if Harris is the nominee, the results will be the same, namely a Trump win.
If President Trump runs for re-election in 2020, what will he need to achieve during his current term in office, in order to get re-elected as president?
Honestly? If he holds onto his base (37% of voters) and the Dems fail to nominate anyone more exciting than Clinton, Sanders, or Biden, he’s going to win.And I’m not happy about that.The Dems seem to have convinced themselves that having a pathological narcissist with no interest in actually governing sitting in the White House undermining our institutions for four years is enough to guarantee them victory in 2020.They’re wrong.If 2016 taught us anything it should be that having a 2:1 lead in preference means nothing if the 2 doesn’t come out to vote but the 1 does. And so far the Dems haven’t got anyone who can inspire the way Obama did in 2008. They don’t have alternatives to Trump’s across-the-board destructiveness. And if they don’t change that, they’ll pat themselves on the back until the electoral college votes come in, giving a completely unqualified and unsuited, clearly unstable man another four years in the most powerful job in the world.The 37% is convinced Trump is delivering everything he promised. The failure of Repeal & Replace? Blame McConnell or McCain. Mexicans aren’t paying for the wall? They will. Eventually. Somehow. Even though they swear otherwise. Coal jobs didn’t materialize? The dramatic intervention at Carrier actually achieved nothing? There will be someone to blame for those things, too. Tax plan didn’t pass or didn’t work? What do you expect from Congress.In other words, Trump doesn’t need to achieve ANYTHING over the next four years. He’ll keep putting his failures on the shoulders of others, while stirring up false outrage about things like the NFL so that his supporters think he’s one of them when he’s actually screwing them just as badly as he did the suckers who signed up for Trump University.Unless the Dems get themselves together, that con will be enough to re-elect him.God bless America.
How will the US presidential 2020 election play out?
The Iowa caucuses will eliminate most of the Democratic hopefuls. Joe Biden, if he runs, will finish first. Sherrod Brown and Kamala Harris will do well enough to continue their campaigns. Biden will also win the South Carolina primary, with Brown and Harris also faring well. Harris will get an extra boost from California’s early primary. By the end of March, only those three will still be standing. If Biden does not run, it will be Brown, Harris, and Amy Klobuchar, who will do just well enough in the Iowa caucuses to stay in the race. She won’t do well in South Carolina, but will stay in the race until the Midwest primaries, which is where her chance to shine will come. If she loses badly there, she’s gone.If Biden runs, he will announce around mid-April that he pledges to serve only one term. This gives him some of the votes of those Democrats who want to see a female President, because they assume Biden will run with a female VP, who will then have a leg up for 2024. A Biden-Harris or Biden-Klobuchar ticket becomes most likely.If Biden does NOT run, I expect Brown and Harris to duke it out right up to the Convention, with Brown winning narrowly based on the premise that he is the candidate most likely to win in the Midwest.So the Democrats will nominate either Joe Biden or Sherrod Brown, with either Amy Klobuchar or Kamala Harris as running mate.They will campaign on restoring the ACA as it was under Obama and a promise to put consideration of single payer before Congress, a national minimum wage of $15, and an infrastructure program to focus on green responses to climate change, such as building an electrical grid to bring solar and wind power to the markets. Trump will run on the claim that the Democrats hate white people and will bring the country to socialism.The Democrats will carry every state Hillary Clinton won with the possible exception of New Hampshire. They will also win Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, giving them 275 electoral votes. They are also likely to win Ohio if Brown is the nominee. Florida, Arizona, and North Carolina will also be in play, and Georgia is not out of the question.Trump will claim fraud and spend the time between 11/03/20 and 01/20/21 in doing as much damage to the country as he can.
Do you believe Hillary Clinton will campaign for the 2020 Democratic nomination for president?
Well, she said recently that she “really wanted to be president” and has generally been more visible recently. I take that to be a trial balloon. She wants to be president and she is looking at the reaction to her comments to see whether there’s any support for her. Whatever her flaws, she is clearly strong-willed and determined. However, if she is realistic and open to reality, she will see that there is essentially no chance that the Democrats will renominate her, whatever Republicans or Trotskyites may like to believe.The Democrats will not renominate her because she has proven herself to be a poor candidate. She lost to a candidate she should have destroyed. Neither party likes to renominate candidates who have won the nomination but lost the general election. The last time the Republicans did that was with Nixon in 1968, after he had lost in 1960. The last time the Democrats did that was in 1956, with Adlai Stevenson.A second reason why Democrats will not nominate her is that they will have many more candidates to choose from in 2020, none of whom will be as unpopular or start with all of the baggage of having been attacked on a major network for decades. In 2020, the Democratic field will be wide-open, and they will be able to choose the best candidate rather than the heir apparent. That is probably good news for them because that is when they do best.