If Hillary Clinton, Michelle Obama and Joe Biden do not run in the 2020 presidential election, what politician is very likely to be supported by the centre?
Senator Kristen Gillibrand, Senator Elizabeth Warren, Senator Bernie Sanders, Congresswoman Maxine Waters may run a vanity campaign without any real intent to win the nomination, former Montana Governor Brian Schweitzer, New York Governor Andrew Cuomo may toss his hat into the ring.Cuomo, Gillibrand, and Schweitzer are varying degrees of moderates and represents plausible centre candidates in 2020. There of course will be wildcards out there that we can't predict, as it would have been difficult to predict that Sanders would have broken fundraising records when he announced his run, there very well be someone who will upend everyone's expectations like Kanye West or primary challenge of Trump from the likes of Gary Johnson, Bill Weld, or Rand Paul that will catch the Libertarian segment of the GOP on fire just like the progressives were fired up by Sanders (but without super delegates throughout or proportional delegate distribution in the earlier GOP nominating contests allowing for an early knockout that could be delivered to Trump that can't be done on the Democratic side).
Who would you rather have as president: Hillary Clinton, Bernie Sanders, or Joe Biden?
Easy, Bernie Sanders.Why?Republicans would most likely control Congress, rendering Sander's entire vision to shatter into pieces.Yes, I know what you're thinking, “What if Democrats take control of both chambers of Congress”. I took that into consideration.Sanders is leftist, waaaay leftist( In US terms), and Democrats are just now embracing their progressive faction.Sanders would be unable to conjure his socialist wet dream, costing him re-election, getting McGoverned in the process.So yep, definitely Sanders.
Will you be voting for Hillary Clinton or Joe Biden in the next Democratic primaries?
Neither. I don’t think Hillary is going to run, and Biden shouldn’t.Hillary Clinton has been accused of a lot of things, but being stupid is not one of them. She has already been through two Presidential campaigns and lost both, and even though she would still like to be President, she is smart enough to understand that her running again would be a recipe for re-electing Trump. I don’t think she would get the nomination, but she would draw enough support and create a massive primary brawl amongst Democrats that whoever did win would be weakened.Biden is a good man, but should not run for President. He is too old, would not win, and would have to continually answer why he is a better older white man to run vs. Trump. People don’t want more of the same, they want something new, even if that “new” doesn’t turn out to be better.
If Hillary Clinton loses the 2016 U.S. Presidential election, then is Bernie Sanders likely to become the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2020?
Mr. Sanders is already 74 (Sept 8, 1941). I'd find it hard to believe that he would want to (or his body would let him) run again in 2020 when pushing 80. The office of president is difficult and tough. Almost all presidents age notably and understandably so in office.
Hillary Clinton's running mate?
If Hillary had won the nomination in 2008 who would she have picked as her running mate? If she wins the nomination in 2016 who would she pick as her running mate?
Who is the primary contender for Hillary Clinton for the presidential run 2016?
It is not very likely that she will have a Democratic opponent for the nomination, unless she takes an especially heavy amount of attack from the right over the next few months. There are probably a few Democrats who are closely watching to see if it might be wise to jump in, among them Joe Biden, Martin O'Malley (governor of Maryland), Jim Webb (senator from Virginia), and possibly Bernie Sanders (senator from Vermont). This would only happen if new information is revealed which significantly tarnishes Clinton's reputation (something more substantial than this email scandal) or if she simply does not run at all, which is unlikely.The most likely Republican nominee, despite the CPAC straw poll results that has everyone screaming about Rand Paul, is Jeb Bush.
How likely is it that Joe Biden runs for president and could he win?
No one but the Vice President, his family, and maybe his political advisors know for sure how likely it is that he'd run for the Presidency again. My surmise has been that he's more likely to jump into the race the worse that former Secretary Hillary Clinton's campaign looks: Mr. Biden shares an "establishment" perception with Sec. Clinton, so he'd easily grab a lot of her supporters if they become spooked by the continual email server revelations, or other issues. (See also: Michael Lee's answer to If Hillary Clinton's candidacy seriously falters, what "big name" establishment Democrats should step forward in pursuit of the Democratic Party nomination?)"Could he win?" is the million-dollar question. I do a lot of nitpicking around here at people's rhetorical exaggerations in politics ("Republicans can't win the White House anymore!"), so I'm obligated to say that yes, he can win the general election if he wins the nomination. We can argue for months about how likely that would be, but it would take an absolutely extraordinary set of circumstances for a candidate outside the two major political parties to win the White House. Which means, as long as the Vice President is one of those candidates, he's got a decent shot.Mr. Biden's candidacy would face some similar issues as Ms. Clinton's, though with some obvious and significant differences. Both would face a rather massive enthusiasm gap in comparison to the sitting President. Both are perceived as "establishment" candidates, meaning that they each would need to pander somewhat to the activist base in the Democratic Party. It's true that Mr. Biden wouldn't be dogged by months of revelations about using a private email server, but he comes with his own risks: most prominently, he has a legendary knack for saying embarrassing things in public. He also wouldn't be making history as the first female President, and while I'm not sure how much that necessarily boosts Ms. Clinton's support, it's definitely an intangible in her favor.I've speculated with friends and family that Mr. Biden could ride to the Democratic Party's rescue if Ms. Clinton's campaign continues its downward spiral, thus saving the party from no-names and socialists, but it's still not clear if he has the energy to pursue a campaign. Amateur pundits with designs on predicting the results of the 2016 Presidential election are welcome to post a guess at my Quora blog, 2016 Presidential Predictions.