Who won the 2016 US Presidential election?
Well, Mrs. Clinton won 3 million more votes on November 8th than did Trump. So, she won the vote of the people. For reasons not fully known yet the Electoral College named Trump the winner despite his losing the actual election by the voters. Many of us believe that it is time to abolish this antiquated institution and allow a true democracy to elect presidents going forward.
Who will win the 2016 presidential election?
I'm hoping the Cons do not sabotage the economic climate simply so they are able to get again within the WH. We are slowly grappling our manner far from an extraordinarily severe failure of the nation. Obama has a just right plan but each change he is making an attempt to make is a piece of the puzzle. He is looking for long term stability and not more of a division in income between the highest and bottom. He's going to get the ball rolling i'm hoping the Republicans certainly not get again in as they'd disassemble the pieces of the puzzle that match and more commonly burn them. The deficit is losing and we will pay our debt off in due time if we will modernize the country and turn out to be leaders in a number of the new technologies. I've not ever visible folks that are so poor that the want to return to the same practices that brought the worlds economic climate to a standstill. I've continuously felt the state of the country used to be generally influenced by means of the notion of it. 4 years and unemployment is healthier however still excessive. I don't know what it's about Obama that makes so many individuals certainly hate him with a ardour. In my books he is been a celeb and we will have to aid him. Please give it a are attempting, I particularly feel he is on to an extra technique with the intention to make the effort to prove he is proper.
What are the odds of the 2016 presidential race being decided by just two electoral votes?
The best answer I can give on the subject is using Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight statistical model forecasting every aspect of the presidential election. It’s as close as it gets to a crystal ball, as the model accuretaly predicted the outcome of the 2012 election in all states and DC (thus also predicting the electoral college spread correctly), on the eve of the election, mind you. In 2008 he missed by just one state.You may already take a look at the forecast, which gives you an excellent overview of where the race stands as of now. It will become more and more accurate as November 8 approaches. You have the choice between the “polls-only model”, which only takes polls into account, the “now-cast”, which is much more sensitive to recent trends (and more or less gives you an idea of what would happen if the election were held today), and the “polls-plus” model, which is the same as polls-only, with a bunch of other indicators (state of the economy, sitting president popularity) factored in. The three models should converge by election day.The feature that interests you in particular, scrolling down, is the electoral college spread probability distribution:Electoral college spread distribution, according to FiveThirtyEight’s polls-plus model, as of October 11It computes all of the possible state configurations (and thus the electoral college spread configurations) with their respective probabilities. For instance, you can read that highest spike here as “Clinton has a 1.7% chance of winning exactly 358 Electoral Votes”. By the way, if you add up all of the probabilities to the dotted line’s right, you get the probability that Clinton is elected president, which is currently 79.6% according to the model.Now, the probability of Clinton’s electoral vote total being 269 or 271 (the cases in which the election would be decided by exactly one electoral vote) can be read to be about 0.4 + 0.5 = 0.9%.For the election to be decided by exactly two electoral votes (269–271 or 271–269), the probability is 0.4 + 0.7 = 1.1%.The probability of an electoral college tie (270–270) is 0.4%.Therefore, the probability of the electoral college being closer than three votes is the sum of these, at 2.4%.
What are the chances the 2016 presidential election will be a blowout or lopsided and Hillary Clinton wins?
According to 2012 General Election: Romney vs. Obama - Polls - HuffPost Pollster, on this date (Oct 5) in 2012 the polling average was Obama 46.9 Romney 46.2, but that race ended up as 51.1 to 47.2, a 3.9% margin in the popular vote, and a 332–206 EV slaughter.And that was a campaign where the Romney campaign had a well-funded and well-staffed GOTV effort, which isn’t true of the Trump campaign.Right now the same tracker 2016 General Election: Trump vs. Clinton - Polls - HuffPost Pollster shows Clinton 48.3 Trump 42.3.By most accounts, this time round the Clinton campaign has an excellent GOTV effort, while Trump has practically none; and, very unusually, the Democratic campaign has a big advantage in fundraising and planned TV ads.On top of that, Trump has not shown any ability to handle a one-on-one debate successfully, and he has to face another 180 minutes of debates. And he is mired in scandals over his taxes and self-dealing from his charity. Can those erode his support further ? It’s hard to tell, but those issues will at least make it difficult for him to solidify his support with moderate Republicans and independents.Taking all these factors together, I think it’s very likely that the final result will show a bigger margin than the current 6.0%, probably something like 9–11%. The final result might be Clinton 53%, Trump 43%, third-party 4% which would be the biggest landslide in a long time (bigger than Bush vs Dukakis which was 53.4% to 45.6%).Interestingly, the 2010 redistricting gave the Republicans such an advantage that they can hold the House even if Dem House candidates win the popular vote by 6% or so. This raises the possibility that Clinton might win the White House with the biggest margin in a generation, but the Republicans might narrowly cling to control of the House thanks to 4–5% of split-ticket voters rejecting Trump while still voting for a Republican congress. That would lead to some interesting discussion of what constitutes a “mandate”.I think that’s probably where we’re headed unless there’s an “October Surprise” which severely hurts Clinton. But that seems far-fetched for such a well-known and thoroughly-investigated candidate.
Who will win the next Presidential Election in 2016?
Hillary Clinton 6/1 Jeb Bush 8/1 Joe Biden 8/1 Martin O'Malley 9/1 Andrew Cuomo 10/1 Marco Rubio 16/1 Bob McDonnell 20/1 Chris Christie 20/1 Deval Patrick 20/1 Elizabeth Warren 20/1 Mark Warner 20/1 Paul Ryan 20/1 Rahm Emmanuel 25/1 Cory Booker 33/1 David Petraeus 33/1 Michael Bloomberg 33/1 Mitt Romney 33/1 Sam Graves 33/1 Susana Martinez 40/1 Amy Klobuchar 40/1 Scott Walker 50/1 Bobby Jindal 50/1 Mike Huckabee 50/1 Rick Santorum 50/1 Sarah Palin 66/1 Jon Huntsman 66/1 Mike Pence 100/1 Condoleeza Rice 100/1 Dennis Kucinich 100/1 Eric Cantor 100/1 Evan Bayh 100/1 Herman Cain 100/1 John Kasich 100/1 John Thune 100/1 Julian Castro 100/1 Kathleen Sebelius 100/1 Kay Hagan 100/1 Mia Love 100/1 Michelle Obama 100/1 Newt Gingrich 100/1 Rand Paul 100/1 Rick Perry 100/1 Tim Kaine
Predictions for 2016 Presidential Election?
I think most pundits, including myself have it chalked up as a win for Hilary Clinton. I can't really imagine anyone beating her, just for the fact that like Obama, she would raise so much money, and has that star power people seem to like in a President. However, will she even want to run again, and go through the long campaigns again? Also, will Benghazi come back to haunt her, especially the 'what does it matter?' remark? I swear if i was advisor on the Republican campaign i would just splash that remark all over the place. If for some reason she doesn't run in 2016 i think it definitely opens the door for the Republicans provided they don't stuff it up again. My goodness, theyre choices for Presidential candidate have been absolute stinkers, Romney, McCain. But i think this time round they have a very good chance. May i suggest Ran Paul. I think he ticks all the boxes, he's charismatic, intelligent, has heaps of political experience, can bring the Republicans as well as Tea Party people together for a common cause as well as attract a lot of neutral voters. So there's my picks, Hilary hands down IF she runs, or else Rand Paul. What is everyone's predictions for 2016?
2016 Presidential Election predictions?
My prediction: DEMOCRATIC PARTY- Former Secretary of State and Senator Hillary Clinton ----Running Mate: Governor Martin O'Malley (yes I would agree with your prediction) REPUBLICAN PARTY- Governor Chris Christie ----Running Mate: Governor Susana Martinez Hillary will make it to the Democratic nomination with no serious opposition (with the possible exception of Senator Elizabeth Warren) and will choose Martin O'Malley, the extraordinarily popular Maryland governor as her running mate (despite speculation that she would choose Warren.) The Republican Party will have a much more messy presidential primary process; Chris Christie will face opposition from more conservative candidates like Ted Cruz, Rand Paul, and Sarah Palin, but will win the nomination due to his more relaxed, charming campaign. He will select Susana Martinez, the New Mexico governor, as his running mate (not Marco Rubio, as you predicted) because he will need to yes, improve with Hispanic voters, but more importantly close the gigantic gap with women voters that are fleeing to Hillary, and therefore he will select Martinez, the nation's first Latina governor, as his running mate. Hillary will win but quite narrowly; Christie will carry all the states Romney did in 2012 but adding New Jersey, New Mexico, and Florida, therefore bringing his electoral vote count to 244 and setting Hillary's electoral win at 294 electoral votes.
What are the odds of Paul Ryan winning the 2016 Presidential election?
Not that great. My assessment is less about his views, and mainly because his main experience is as a member of the House. He doesn't have Executive political experience on his resume, and that makes a difference in Presidential elections. That is likely to be a big consideration with lots of mixed feelings about the ability to execute of the current President (who came to the office straight from a short Senate term).Consider:George W. Bush: former Governor of TexasBill Clinton: former Governor of ArkansasGeorge H.W. Bush: former Vice PresidentRonald Reagan: former Governor of CaliforniaJimmy Carter: former Governor of GeorgiaRichard Nixon: former Vice PresidentLyndon Johnson: former Vice President moved to Presidency after death of JFKDwight Eisenhower: former Supreme Commander of the Allied Forces in WWIIHarry Truman: former Vice President moved to Presidency after death of FDRFranklin Roosevelt: former Governor of New YorkKennedy is absent from the list as he -- like Obama -- came straight from the Senate. (It's worth noting that while his legacy and vision is fondly remembered, his tragically abridged time as Head of the Executive Branch is subject to a fair bit of criticism.) Ford assumed the Presidency from the Vice Presidency following Nixon's resignation -- but was not elected either President OR Vice President. He was appointed from Congress and confirmed by Congress following the resignation of Spiro Agnew, and lost the 1976 election to Carter.With a number of governors as likely contenders for the Republican nomination, Ryan is at a significant disadvantage.
2016 election prediction?
2016??? it really is somewhat far away. Obama has some very reliable possibilities. The Republicans don't have each and each person dominating and via the time they are finished tearing one yet another to shreds, the Obama campaign is going to be left dealing with in spite of's left of the "winner". 2016... Now it really is hard one... Who is conscious? Hillary may attempt back... and so may Mitt Romney. enable's say this is between those 2... properly, i do not quite care... 2 inches off one yet another, quite. Compromis of the right meets compromise of the left. A milqtoast contract now to not do some thing in any respect. awesome. via that element, we are going to be in finished-blown revolution, in spite of the indisputable fact that. It gained't matter. The dollar could have bust, China could have taken over and the american human beings will be operating the streets with hearth bombs like they do now in Greece. IMHO
What are the odds of each 2016 presidential candidate winning the nomination/general election as of 3/8/16?
As of March 8th at Bovada: USA Presidential Election: 2016 Odds Hillary Clinton -200Donald Trump +250Ted Cruz +1000Bernie Sanders +1600John Kasich +2500Marco Rubio +3300Mitt Romney +6600The current implied probability is about 67% that Hillary will win and 28% that Trump will win. Over the weekend, Cruz' implied probability improved from 3.8% to 9.1%, while Bernie Sanders improved from 4.8% to 5.9%. These odds are based on bettor sentiment, i.e., where they bet their money, and are about as reliable as the polls that had Trump winning Kansas by +6 over Cruz, then saw Cruz win by +25.As of March 4th at Bovada:Hillary Clinton -200Donald Trump +200Marco Rubio +1400Bernie Sanders +2000John Kasich +2000Ted Cruz +2500Michael Bloomberg +5000