Are some Democrats correct to fear that Obama can't win in November ?
Sunday June 1 2008 With senator Barack Obama poised this week to clinch his party's nomination for President, there are growing fears in some quarters that the Democratic party may not be choosing its strongest candidate to beat Republican John McCain. Senator Hillary Clinton has been making that argument for weeks. Now some recent polls and analysis, looking particularly at vital battleground states and support among white voters, have bolstered her case Republican analysts, meanwhile, are surprised about how healthy their party's prospects look in a year when almost all indicators suggested they should lose. McCain remains competitive against Obama. He even leads in some key states. Indeed, some research predicts he could romp home against Obama http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2008/jun...
Can Obama Win in November?
I seriously doubt that Senator Obama could even win re-election for his senate seat. I honestly believe he has been exposed for his true self.
How does Obama come off saying that he will keep Howard Dean as DNC chairman?
no, the fact is as follows; Whomever wins the Democratic nomination becomes the HEAD of the party. This was also true when John Kerry won the nomination. He lost the position after he lost the election. When a nominee is chosen they make changes in the party. Bill Clinton had been the head of the party from the time he won the nomination in 1992 until he left office in 2000. Please do not sound this obtuse when you make comments about MI and FL. Both states were told to abide by the rules they agreed to. The states chose to ignore them. The Rules and Bylaws committee that stripped them of ALL of the their delegates instead of only 1/2, was made up of 19 Clinton supporters . Gov. Dean had no control over the committee members. BOTH parties had to agree to the primary calendar. Gov. Dean has no control over the Republican party. Please know your politics before you spout. Also know this, Republicans also stripped FL& MI of 1/2 of its delegates for moving up its primary date. Edited to add: For those who think that Dean "chose" Obama, know this much about your country's politics. The Democratic Leadership Comittee ( DLC) was designed and stacked with Clintonites. She had been chosen from 2005 to run. However, when Gov. Dean was elected as Chairman, he became the 1st non Clintonite in over 13 years. He believed in a 50 state strategy unlike the Clinton approach to go after only the "big' states. Now what some people still don't get is that the Clintons are not that well liked. They used their power like a billy club. So people feared them but did not like them. Now once the party was able to see that the party itself was not headed by a Clintonite and that the party could win without their support as it did in 2006, it realized the party did not really need them. This was why Hillary was unable to move the superdelegates in any major way, once Obama seemed to be viable. Also remember, Hillary Clinton enjoyed a 2-1 margin over Obama in the polls until the beginning of the primary season. Gov Dean had nothing to do with that.
Did you start out against Trump, voting for Hillary or Bernie, but now support him? What brought you over?
I have had quite a few fb with people who were not supporting Trump. In real life, I don’t meet many of those. I live in Israel and the overwhelming majority of Jews here supported him. Those reconsidering are saying that it is based on his actions so far concerning Israel, Nikki Haley’s excellence as UN embassador, enforcing the law on the border and the push (despite Cngress) on taxes and Obamacare. I originally did not support him, until his winnng the primary. As most Israelis, I knew that another 4 years of Obama-Clinton-Kerry foreign policy would further destabilize the ME, strengthen all of the Muslim Brotherhood related terror organizations and cost the lives of more Jews than it already has.And I think that another reason is the over the top hysteria and the failure of the sky to fall in. People in the US are pretty ignorant about the attitudes in foreign countries. They assume, as they assume in the US, that the press is an indication of the mood in a coutry. Reporters on the whole tend to be a very unrepresentative bunch, and editors even more so.
Does U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry view the Middle East realistically?
That link goes to a very conservative paper, and the substance of that article reflects a politicized narrative, one that has little support among MENA scholars or diplomats. I've seen no evidence in his actions or statements that he does not view the region "realistically". That charge has been made by the far-right in both the United States and elsewhere, but the premise of their claims is simply that he does not agree with their own views. I can confidently say that experts who study the region overall fall closer to Kerry and his views than the views espoused in that link. The author of that link is a fairly well known and controversial figure involved in anti-Muslim groups, and his column reflects that. Essentially, that article is premised on the notion that having a different view of the region than the author is "unrealistic". He offers no compelling evidence Kerry is "unrealistic", and in my own experience and views of US policy in the region I've not seen anything supporting that claim.
What event could persuade the white working class to reconsider loyalty to the Republican party?
It’s not events that make those swings, it is personalities.1980 Carter carried one state from the former ConfederacyMondale, Dukakis, Gore, Kerry, and Hillary Clinton carried none.Barak Obama carried three in 2008 and two in 2012Bill Clinton carried four in both 1992 and 1996.To win the white working class you better have a message that works with them.Bill Clinton spoke their language.Rather than declaring an absolute of choice in reproduction he spoke of abortion being safe, legal, and rare.Don’t ask, don’t tell didn’t appease those who really get out of shape over homosexuality but fit the mainstream of the white working class who shared the same thought. Don’t tell me you are gay and I won’t ask you either, it’s not my business unless you make it my business against my will.Many liberals still resent Clinton’s “sellout” on welfare with limits and work requirements but the welfare state that FDR was able to get rolling presumed that if you were able then being ready and willing to work was part and parcel of getting assistance.The white working class isn’t anti-social welfare programs, they are anti-programs that they think are for a freeloaders and/or not available to them.Our kids were born pre-FMLA. With each my wife had to return to work in two weeks, I wasn’t a fan of the idea that she had to return to work to keep her job but a new mother on welfare was exempt from seeking work for two years. Living in poverty sucks but look at what causes complaints on social media. Free cell phones and buying expensive food or junk food with SNAP. If we bumped SSI or TEA $45 a month and people used it to pay for a cell plan, that would probably cost the government more and make a lot of people less irate.The white working class doesn’t much buy into the idea people are entitle to much of anything (themselves included). Talk about a right to health care or a right to post-K12 education or people being owed those things, forget it you won’t win them. Approach it as a way to control costs or grow the economy and you might get listened to.Talk about police officers abusing minorities… tuned out. Talk about cases of police officers abusing the rights of citizenship… more willing to listen.