If Scotland Votes For Independence Will The Realities Cause A Great Hatred Between Scots And

Will Catalonia become independent in the next 10 years?

I live in Barcelona, and this is my opinin as an expat.My answer to the question is: probably not.Hopefully though, the Catalans will get at least a "Swiss" solution, which they had already agreed to, and it would have been implemented if not for the post fascist party PP (see below).There are several issues:Spain does not have a democratic history comparable to that of the UK (see Scottish referendum), they simply cannot accept such a solution.Indeed, you can check the argument that relies on the Spanish constitution: the consitution was signed approx. 3 years after the death of Franco, which was a dictatorship that had been extremely hard on the Catalan identity. They simply fail to recognize that their unwillingness to modify the constitution is a form of oppression of the minority.Having that said, I find Spanish mainstream media nauseating in this respect: Spain has consistently refused to negotiate the autonomic status of Catalonia. Catalans had clearly shown that "a Swiss" solution worked for them, however the constitutional court declared the so called Statute signed by the Catalans in 2006 inconstitutional. In doing so the Spanish have basically caused a slow radicalization of the conflict.I personally find the Spanish mentality colonialist, faithful to their history of dominating and incorporating minority cultures, as opposed to other derivations of colonialism. One has only to look at Switzerland (especially for language policy) or Canada or England (referendum) to see how different identities can successfully live together, or eventually negotiate peacefully over a solution of the conflict.One thing that on the other side Catalan underestimate is that historically referendum for secession tend to fail. And so even if the consitution was finally changed, it is to be seen what would be the outcome of a referendum.

Will Scotland break up the Union because of Brexit to stay in the EU?

The biggest problem is that leaving the UK to rejoin the EU is highly unlikely to actually work.If Scotland did vote for independence, the first thing we would see is a two year negotiating period that would see the UK severing ties with Scotland, which would have a very serious impact on Scottish public services. Companies would also relocate from Scotland, as most have headquarters in London. Trade barriers get put in place (more than 60% of Scottish exports depend on internal UK trade with the remainder being exported to the EU) until a free trade agreement is arranged. Oil is being devalued and becoming more of a volatile market, which can also cause further headaches for the Scottish economy and the final nail in the coffin is when it takes its share of the UK deficit.When it becomes independent, it would have very little of an economy to speak of with a barely functioning public sector and be saddled with a debt that it can't realistically pay. This would mean that it wouldn't meet the minimum economic requirements needed to rejoin the EU and accept the Euro (if they went down that route). Joining is also a very lengthy process that can easily take up to a decade. By that time, it's very easy to see Scotland becoming bankrupt, mainly because it would almost have no platform in which to compete in today's global market. If it does become bankrupt, the EU wouldn't consider Scotland to be eligible for membeship because they'd see it as another Greece that would put too much unnecessary burden on the Eurozone.So while in principle it doesn't seem like a bad idea (and the SNP will make a lot of noise because of this), the reality is that it just simply wouldn't work, hence why Scots aren't really that keen on independence in the first place.I don't really see this happening unless Brexit ends up being so bad that wouldn't make a difference either way.