Is the stock market going to keep falling?
There will be signs of the impending new world economic depression. As more unregulated companies begin to collapse as a result of the crisis. This decline i would argue has been manifesting since the collapse of the asian markets, although at first it may appear that it is unrelated to the housing situation. The housing situation in of itself is only a symptoms of an age of unregulated business. The CEO president applied his views to the deregulation of our systems and without checks and balances you get Eronn 2. Will the economy plummet, no but this depends on how great a risk the U.S seen on the world market. If the U.S continues to create instablity, China may decide to call in the bonds issued to pay for the war.
Is our stock market going to keep going down?
Trump isn't a businessman. "Flim-flam man" would be much more accurate. There's nothing that stock investors hate more than uncertainty. The market will continue going down as long as this President keeps Tweeting and making irresponsible public statements. All this talk of trade war and tariffs makes investors nervous.
What is the meaning of the stock market falling by X points?
First things first. When ever someone says the stock market fell or rose, they invariably mean the “stock index”.Stock market is comprised of a lot of listed companies, and all of them don’t have the same direction on the same day, all stocks don’t fall or rise..A stock index is designed to appropriately and relevantly mirror the broader stock exchange where hundreds to thousands of companies are listed. Hence the thing is entirely mathematics.Stock Index: It is usually designed keeping in view of the sectoral composition of the listed entities, sector-wise market cap, volumes, liquidity and a number of factors. Some of the bigger listed companies are ‘indexed’ together in varying weightages to contribute to the overall index. The no of scrips in the index varies from exchange to exchange.In simpler terms, “stock market” fell means the overall market cap of the exchange came down, irrespective of the number of companies that rose or fell which leads to decrease in investor wealth.
Can the stock market be mathematically predicted? Is there any computer program that have the capacity to predict the movement of stock price?
Yes - of course it can. I bet you didn't expect that answer did you?It can be done using what's called a Neural Network. The concept isn't easy to understand, learn or practice at our level. Everyone discounts the notion of stock market prediction, but they simply haven't dug deep enough and found real answers. I have already done this for you. So, below are two things. The first is an example on paper proving it works via research done at Berkley harvesting a 96% prediction of one market index move. The second is a company that sells advanced prediction software using neural networks to several industries in helping companies predict everything from buying habits to corn yields in fields across the US. They also happen to sell a software package for traders, but you have to dig across the site to find it, with examples and proof - but it's there. I believe it's called Neuro Shell.So, what's a Neural Network?The basic concept behind a neural network is to simulate (copy in a simplified but reasonably faithful way) lots of densely interconnected pieces of data like brain cells would inside a computer so you can get it to learn things, recognize patterns, and make decisions in a humanlike way. The amazing thing about a neural network is that you don't have to program it to learn explicitly: it learns all by itself, just like a brain.https://people.eecs.berkeley.edu...Neural Network Software and Genetic Algorithm SoftwareGood Luck.
If someone could predict the stock market, what would happen?
Nothing because that person would be smart enough to keep quiet and tell no one about it. Would you tell the world if you predict exactly what the market was going to do. Having said that it is possible to predict market direction. We have been doing that for the past 12 years or so. What this entails is determining the trend of the market. It does not mean you know exactly where the market will be tomorrow. It, however, does mean that if the trend is up, then every time the market pulls back strongly you should buy. If the trend is down, every time the market rallies you should sell.Determining market trends requires a good footing on the subject of Mass Psychology and you also need to understand why stock market crashes are buying opportunities . If you are interested in learning more on the topic of mass psychology and investing you can visit this page we created that lists all the articles we wrote on the subject
When is the stock market going to correct or crash?
It's amazing how many questions like this come up on Quora and how worries people are about it. Here are some points;Nobody can tell when there will be another crash, the academic evidence is quite clear about that.Buy and hold investing beats market timingOnly financial pundits claim to but any research on their track record suggests otherwise - Switch off CNBC and BloombergThe stock market always goes up in the US, from 66 in 1900 to 25,000+ in 2018. But the ride isn't smooth. Just be long-term and you will be fine.About point 4 I will give you two Buffett quotes. 'The Dow started the century at 66 and ended at 11,000 (in 1999) and has doubled since then. But so many people lost money as they tried to dance in and out of markets'. And 'one day the Dow will hit $1M', which it will be compounded growth as before. If you invest at 25,000, 18,000 or 35,000, it won't make a huge difference long-termHave a well diversified portfolio of stocks and bonds and rebalance if there is a crash or a correction.Market timing just doesn't work, just like stock picking . One reason is you need to keep the money in cash if you aren't in the markets and being 70%+ in bonds for example, is too conservative.Emerging markets and even some international markets like the UK haven't (in USD terms) performed as well as the US markets in the last 10 years. If you have some diversification, it will also help.There are too many unknown unknowns and known unknowns to predict thisThose who predicted 2008 right (like Peter Schiff) also predicted a second crisis which never happened. The result? They lost out long-term to buy and hold investors.This happens again and again. People thought the Dow was overvalued at 11,000 in 1999, which it was in some ways. On a P/E basis it was too high in 1999, much much higher than now as companies were less profitable then. People thought the Dow was overvalued at 16,000 in 2014 even though it clearly wasn't on a P/E basis. People just need to get in and be in.Some reading:6 Steps to Financial Freedom and Passive Income Investments30 Best Investing Books for Beginners and Intermediate Learners
When is the Indian stock market going to crash in 2018?
Today.Or tomorrow. Or next Tuesday. Or next month. Or next quarter. Or maybe not at all.There is absolutely no one who can accurately predict when the stock markets will crash. There are many who will make predictions and then, the ones who get in right will boast about their predictions coming true. But even that can be known only in retrospect. No one can say for sure exactly when the markets will crash, if at all.For example, I could say right now that the stock markets will crash in mid-February. Them, it it actually does happen, I will come back here and say, “See guys, I told you the stock markets will crash in February and they did. See what a genius I am!” One the other hand, if the markets don’t crash in February, I will never bring my prediction up. I will simply ignore the fact that I ever made a prediction.This is exactly what most “stock market experts” do and investors get lured by them because everyone wants to know when the markets will crash.To be honest, even I want to know. And if I did know, I would just hold onto my money and invest it after the market crashes. But I don’t know if that will happen or not. For all we know, the Sensex could go from the current 34k level to touch 40k by the end of 2018. Or maybe the markets will crash and end 2018 below 25k.I don’t know and I will never listen to anyone who proclaims to know. Instead, what I do is what I have been doing for the past 10 years—invest systematically.What I know is that India is a growing economy and Indian businesses are going to do well in the coming years. If Sensex doesn’t touch 40k by 2018-end, it will by 2019-end or 2020-end. I’m in no hurry, because despite any corrections or crashes, the markets are broadly going to be on an upward trend only.This is why I invest in equities and I invest every month. Earlier, I used to invest in equity mutual funds; now I invest in smallcases. But the idea remains the same—invest in equities, invest systematically and invest for the long-term.If the markets do crash, I will consider that to be an additional bonus because I’ll be able to buy cheap.
How can people predict when stocks are going to go up or down?
Cycle analysis is an excellent way to predict future moves. It's certainly not perfect, but it gives you a great road map, and high probability opportunities.
What are the signals to see if the stock market will go up or down?
I’ll share a secret.NOBODY knows how to predict future market direction.And anyone who says they do, thats a pretty extreme claim - put up or shut up, and post photos of your private island, jet and Ferrari. Because I’m calling bullshit.The truth. The best traders in the world are right AROUND 50% OF THE TIME. A little less than 50% or a little more than 50%, but never above 65% and some of the best traders have win rates around 30%.So let’s examine this a little more closely.The best traders in history, earning billions of dollars, are happy not knowing if the market is going to go up or go down.Conversely the worst traders in the world, the guys who are suckers for all those courses, ebooks, and subscription services… they absolutely obsess over knowing what direction the market is going.If you want to stop trading like a loser, it is helpful to stop thinking like a loser.You can’t predict the future. Nobody can. Fortunately it is not necessary. The art and science of trading is not to predict the future, but to place rational bets where the risk return odds are in your favour.